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Diagnosis of Transition Processes in the Ocean-Atmosphere System

Authors
  • Vladimir Yu. Soldatov

    Moscow State Technological University "STANKIN", Moscow, Russia

  • Costica Nitu

    Department of Automatic Control and Computers, POLITEHNICA University of Bucharest, Spl.Independentei 313, 060042 Bucharest, Romania

  • Vladimir F. Krapivin

    Institute of Radioengineering and Electronics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia

Abstract
Transition processes between different situations in the "ocean-atmosphere" system are studied by means of the methods of sequential analysis. Instability indicator is introduced to be used as the generalized characteristics of the state for this system. The indicator is evaluated based on the data obtained from the TAO/TRITON-PIRATA system of anchored buys and other meteorological stations located in tropical zone of the World Ocean. It is shown that the combination of sequential and cluster analysis with the percolation model allows the detection of tropical hurricane 1-2 days in advance of its initiation.
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Published
2010-06-15
Section
Articles